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NEVs

Gauteng takes the wheel: Driving Africa’s NEV future

South Africa’s shift to green mobility is no longer a distant idea, it is now a commercial necessity, and the economic heartland of the country must take the lead in embracing New Energy Vehicles as a core economic sector for the country – and the rest of Africa, writes Lebogang Maile, Gauteng MEC for Finance and Economic Development. Gauteng is stepping up to lead South Africa and Africa into the new-energy vehicle (NEV) era. The province, already the country’s economic and industrial centre, is positioning itself as the continent’s NEV hub. The province hosted its inaugural NEV Summit on 22–23 October 2025, during the country’s Transport Month, under the auspices of the Gauteng Growth and Development Agency, along with the Automotive Industry Development Centre (AIDC) and the Tshwane Automotive Special Economic Zone (TASEZ). South Africa’s shift to green mobility is no longer a distant idea, it is now a commercial necessity. Gauteng is determined to lead South Africa’s transition to electric and low-carbon mobility. The South African automotive industry is facing a tough operating environment, heightened by the imposition of a unilateral 30% reciprocal trade tariff by the government of the United States, which has consistently been South Africa’s second-largest trading partner and key export destination for South African-manufactured vehicles. The sector is particularly vulnerable to the 25% sectoral tariff imposed under Section 232 of the United States Trade Expansion Act of 1962, which specifically targets automotive exports. In addition, global markets, particularly the European Union, are tightening carbon regulations. For South Africa to keep exporting vehicles and stay competitive, it must move fast to build an industry that produces low- and zero-emission cars. Laying the foundation The transition is backed by strong policy frameworks. The South African Automotive Master Plan 2035 (SAAM 2035) sets clear goals for increasing local content, boosting exports, and creating inclusive growth. The government’s White Paper on electric vehicles, approved at the end of 2023, provides a roadmap for building the NEV ecosystem from production and charging infrastructure to skills development and consumer incentives. Although the paper references electric vehicles, South Africa must take into account other green initiatives, such as hydrogen and battery. The policy direction is clear – our job is to make sure Gauteng becomes the first mover. The NEV transition is about jobs, skills, and industrialisation, not just greener cars. We are ready to lead Africa in this journey. Why Gauteng? South Africa’s economic hub has all the right ingredients: skilled workers, advanced manufacturing infrastructure, financial and logistics networks, and a strong automotive heritage. Ford, based in the City of Tshwane, has been in South Africa for over a century. Gauteng’s existing automotive value chain makes it the natural home for Africa’s NEV future. The province already hosts major original equipment manufacturers like BMW, Ford, and Nissan, and supplier networks that can pivot to battery, electronics, and component manufacturing. We already have the backbone, from vehicle assemblers to tiered suppliers. What we are doing now is aligning that value chain with new technologies, from battery assembly to software integration. The transition is not just about attracting investment; it’s about future-proofing Gauteng’s manufacturing economy. Turning policy into factories Gauteng is now focused on turning national policy into tangible projects. The Automotive Investment Scheme (AIS) and EV production incentives announced by the Department of Trade, Industry and Competition (the dtic), including a 150% investment allowance for qualifying projects, are key tools to make that happen. We are working closely with the dtic and industry stakeholders to streamline approvals and remove red tape. Investors do not want promises; they want certainty. Gauteng is offering that – a clear pathway from policy to plant. But we are also well aware of the challenges we face, from electricity reliability and logistics to the high costs of new technologies. One of the key projects we have put in place to overcome these is the creation of a dedicated automotive hub in the City of Tshwane, with stable power, fast-tracked permitting, and shared testing and recycling facilities to lower entry barriers for manufacturers. Building demand and inclusion A vibrant NEV industry also needs a domestic market, and Gauteng is exploring ways to stimulate demand through public fleet electrification, taxi modernisation programmes, and municipal procurement. Demand creation will be critical to attracting more investors. OEMs and suppliers want to see that South Africa is serious about NEVs – that there is a real market for these vehicles. If we in government lead by example through fleet conversion, others will follow. Gauteng has the opportunity to set that example for the rest of the continent. Beyond manufacturing, Gauteng’s NEV strategy emphasises skills development and inclusion. The transition is being designed to create opportunities for black-owned medium, small, and micro enterprises, youth, and women entrepreneurs in new parts of the value chain, from charging infrastructure to digital mobility services. A turning point for the economy The upcoming NEV Summit is expected to produce a clear action plan: identifying priority sites, announcing anchor investors, setting timelines for disbursing incentives, and mapping out power and logistics upgrades. This summit was not just about speeches; it was about signatures. We want commitments, timelines, and projects that will create jobs and secure Gauteng’s place at the centre of Africa’s new energy future. If Gauteng can convert its strategic intent into action, the province will not only revitalise South Africa’s automotive manufacturing base but also anchor the continent’s NEV revolution. The race to lead Africa’s green mobility future has begun, and Gauteng plans to be first across the line.

From policy to action: Now is the time for South Africa to embrace new energy vehicles

South Africa must move from policy to action as a matter of urgency, aligning incentives, infrastructure, skills, and industrial coordination around new energy vehicles, writes the CEO of Tshwane Automotive Special Economic Zone, Dr Bheka Zulu. South Africa’s automotive industry stands at a turning point. The global race toward low- and zero-emission mobility is accelerating, and for a country whose automotive exports hinge on access to the European market, embracing new energy vehicles (NEVs) is no longer optional, it has become an industrial necessity. The Electric Vehicle (EV) White Paper and the South African Automotive Master Plan 2035 (SAAM) together lay a strong policy and strategic foundation. The challenge now is moving from intent to implementation. The country has a clear opportunity to build an inclusive, competitive, and sustainable automotive industry powered by innovation, ready for a net-zero world. Transformation is a must The global automotive landscape is undergoing a profound transformation, driven by the urgency to reduce carbon emissions and achieve net-zero goals. The European Union’s carbon neutrality policies are among the most influential in this shift, setting strict timelines for phasing out internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles and promoting zero- and low emission alternatives. The EU aims to be climate-neutral by 2050. The objective is to ensure an economy with net-zero greenhouse emissions. For South Africa, this presents both a challenge and an opportunity. The EU remains South Africa’s largest export market for vehicles, accounting for the bulk of automotive exports. A significant 68,7% of light vehicle production was exported in 2024, with three out of every four cars headed to Europe. This means that the EU’s green regulations will directly determine South Africa’s ability to continue trading competitively in this critical sector. Vehicles built in Gauteng and other parts of the country will increasingly need to meet low- or zero-emission standards to remain eligible for export. Transitioning now is not optional, it is essential. Early investment in NEV production, local battery manufacturing, and supporting infrastructure such as charging networks will safeguard South Africa’s market access, maintain its global competitiveness, and create a foundation for long-term industrial sustainability. Policy meets opportunity The EV White Paper charts a managed transition from internal combustion engines to cleaner technologies, ensuring decarbonisation does not lead to deindustrialisation. It sets out steps to localise EV production, develop charging infrastructure, and build skills for the future. The White Paper allows for a managed transition, setting out a number of processes: It has identified 10 actions required to build an EV production ecosystem, including the beneficiation of critical minerals, battery reuse and refurbishment, regulatory alignment, and incentives for localisation. Complementing it, the South African Automotive Master Plan (SAAM 2035) envisions South Africa increasing local content in vehicle manufacturing, expanding exports, and doubling employment by 2035. SAAM 2035 sets out six focus areas: optimising the local market, developing the regional market, localisation, infrastructure development, industry transformation, and technology a skills development. Targets include: Together, the EV White Paper and SAAM 2035 frame a just, inclusive transition that can preserve and grow the country’s industrial base. Driving implementation Turning these policies into tangible outcomes depends on strong institutions. In Gauteng, the Gauteng Growth and Development Agency (GGDA), its subsidiary the Automotive Industry Development Centre (AIDC), and the Tshwane Automotive Special Economic Zone (TASEZ) are taking the lead. TASEZ, Africa’s first automotive city, is positioning itself as a hub for future-focused investment, where manufacturers and suppliers can plug into purpose-built infrastructure, training, and incentives. The AIDC, through its learning centres and supplier parks, is aligning skills and enterprise development with EV technologies. Together, these institutions are turning national ambition into provincial action. South Africa must act quickly to overcome power constraints, develop a local battery value chain, and align incentives to attract NEV and component investment. Global markets are already shifting and delays could cost South Africa export access, investor confidence, and thousands of jobs. A call to lead Africa’s NEV revolution The upcoming 2025 NEV Summit, hosted by GGDA, AIDC, and TASEZ on 22-23 October 2025 at the Gallagher Convention Centre, represents the next phase: uniting government, industry, and investors to accelerate implementation. From policy to action, South Africa’s NEV future depends on decisive execution.

Gauteng gears up for green revolution as New Energy Vehicle Summit kicks off

By Mandla Mpangase The inaugural New Energy Vehicle Summit is taking place this week in Gauteng, drawing attention to the importance and urgency of moving to green mobility within South Africa’s automotive industry. The landmark event, hosted by the Gauteng Growth and Development Agency (GGDA), the Automotive Industry Development Centre (AIDC), and the Tshwane Automotive Special Economic Zone (TASEZ), will assess the progress of the transition to new energy vehicles (NEVs), investigate possible partnerships, and plan practical strategies to accelerate the creation of a competitive local NEV ecosystem. Speaking ahead of the summit on Channel Africa’s Africa Update with Lulu Gaboo, the CEO of TASEZ, Dr Bheka Zulu, said the gathering marks more than just summit. “It’s a statement that Gauteng, as the heart of South Africa’s automotive sector, is ready to lead Africa’s technological shift,” said Dr Zulu. “With more than 60% of the country’s vehicles produced in this province, we are asserting South Africa’s leadership in the continent’s new energy vehicle transition.” Zulu said South Africa is no longer a “passenger” in the global race toward electric mobility. Since the release of the EV White Paper in 2023, the focus has been on positioning the country for global competitiveness through research, innovation, and partnerships. “We’re gearing up for the race on the global EV track,” he noted. “Our goal is to attract international investors, harmonise trade standards across African markets, and promote regional value chains that make South Africa the hub for sub-assemblies and NEV components.” Dr Zulu emphasised that the NEV Summit, taking place at the Gallagher Convention Centre on 22-23 October, will focus on building consensus between industry, labour, and government to develop a balanced roadmap for transformation, one that prioritises both ambition and pragmatism. Policy alignment Asked about policy readiness, Dr Zulu said South Africa already has the right frameworks in place, but faster implementation and targeted incentives are needed. “The road is paved; now we need the green light to move faster,” he said. “We must streamline tax incentives and develop charging infrastructure that supports local manufacturing and adoption.” The NEV shift represents a major opportunity for deepening local supply chains, creating high-value jobs, and transforming South Africa into the main exporter of NEV components across the continent. The South African Automotive Masterplan 2035 (SAAM 2035) is a key enabler of the transition, with its goals to increase local content from 40% to 60% and to double employment in the sector. It is supported by the Electric Vehicles White Paper, that was published at the end of 2023. “This is not just about swapping the engine for a battery,” he said. “It’s about creating new high-value jobs and ensuring that no one is left behind, including workers, black industrialists, and small suppliers.” At the heart of the TASEZ strategy is inclusivity, with initiatives to upskill the existing workforce, mentor small component manufacturers, and facilitate partnerships between local suppliers and global OEMs. Collaboration is vital Dr Zulu stressed that while Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) like Ford play a critical role, the NEV opportunity is open to new entrants and innovators. “The NEV space is for everyone,” he said. “We want to see new black industrialists and emerging OEMs entering the field. This is the transformation we’ve been driving.” Although reliable energy and charging infrastructure remain a challenge, partnerships are being developed to roll out a national charging network and invest in renewable solutions. “We are identifying key sites and collaborating with private partners to ensure charging infrastructure keeps pace with NEV adoption,” he said. With the European Union’s zero-emission and carbon border adjustment policies set to take effect by 2035, dr Zulu said South Africa must align its timelines and environmental standards with international expectations. “We’re adapting our manufacturing processes to reduce coal-based energy use and increase solar, gas, and hydrogen integration,” he said. “Our ambition is to match the EU’s climate neutrality goals and maintain export competitiveness.” Looking ahead to 2035, Dr Zulu concluded: “We want NEVs to form a significant part of local production, deepen component manufacturing, and make South Africa the hub of NEV exports to Africa and beyond,” he said. “Most importantly, we want this transition to create jobs, skills, and shared prosperity.”

Gauteng charges ahead with Africa’s green mobility future

Gauteng is looking to secure its place on Africa’s map in terms of the production of New Energy Vehicles (NEVs), setting an agenda that will see a green transport revolution across the continent. Under the leadership of Gauteng Department of Economic Development, via the Gauteng Growth and Development Agency (GGDA), the province is translating big ideas into reality; from policy to production and from vision to economic reality. In September 2025, Gauteng MEC for Economic Development and Finance Lebogang Maile laid the foundation in an address at a dialogue with the automotive industry. There, he outlined the province’s ambition to turn Gauteng into the hub of Africa’s automotive industry – and NEVs have to play an important role in this. Gauteng already accounts for a third of the country’s automotive manufacturing output. In 2024, the automotive industry contributed 5.2% towards South Africa’s GDP, with 110 000 direct jobs – 33 154 in the original equipment manufacturers and 81 860 people employed by component manufacturers. It is also home to three original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), BMW, Ford and Nissan – all based in the City of Tshwane – as well as automotive development hubs such as the Automotive Industry Development Centre (AIDC) and the Tshwane Automotive Special Economic Zone (TASEZ). Together, Gauteng’s OEMs produced 1.8 million vehicles between 2014 and 2023, accounting for 32.8% of South Africa’s vehicle production, and, according to the naamsa (the Automotive Business Council), Gauteng’s automotive sector is expected to gain momentum, especially with the establishment of the Tshwane Automotive City. Making sure the vision becomes concrete, the GGDA, along with the AIDC and TASEZ, is hosting the 2025 NEV Summit to drive Gauteng towards a green automotive economy, providing insights into trends and innovations across the NEV sector. A strong manufacturing sector For decades, South Africa has powered Africa’s automotive industry. Yet the global automotive landscape is shifting rapidly. The European Union’s carbon neutrality commitments are reshaping trade and market access, making low- or zero-emission vehicles essential for competitiveness. NEVs are no longer optional, they are essential to South Africa’s continued participation in global markets and will play a significant role in meeting the target set in the South African Automotive Master Plan (SAAM 2025) to manufacture 1% of the global automotive output. Against this backdrop, the NEV Summit will unite manufacturers, investors, policymakers and innovators to accelerate South Africa’s NEV transition. It is where strategies from the SAAM 2035 and Electric Vehicle White Paper move from the drawing board to the production line. As South Africa’s industrial heartland, Gauteng – which produces a vehicle every three minutes – offers a complete ecosystem with world-class logistics, skilled labour, top universities, and a strong innovation network that is capable of driving the green mobility revolution forward. Through its focus on localisation, battery manufacturing, and value chain integration, Gauteng offers Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and investors a ready-made base for the NEV industry. Gauteng’s proactive approach positions South Africa as both compliant with international climate goals and competitive within the global market. Sustainability is no longer a nice-to-have; it is now a core driver of industrial success. Building skills for the future The shift to NEVs also demands new skills – from battery technology to software development and recycling innovation. Gauteng’s education and training institutions, supported by the GGDA, AIDC and TASEZ, are already preparing the workforce for this next-generation economy. The province is not only building factories, it is building people, ensuring that the transition is inclusive and sustainable. Gauteng’s ambition extends beyond South Africa’s borders. With Africa’s rich reserves of lithium, cobalt, and manganese – critical for battery production – the province aims to localise value-add and establish itself as the gateway for Africa’s NEV value chain. This also fits neatly in the target set in the SAAM 2025 to raise localisation to 60% by the middle of the next decade. By creating a connected network of automotive and energy hubs across the continent, Gauteng is laying the groundwork for Africa to lead the continent’s green transition. The NEV Summit 2025 will showcase how Gauteng is driving this transition, demonstrating that green growth and industrial expansion are not opposites, they are on the same route.

South Africa’s auto industry holds advantage in Africa, Says Minister Tau

By Mandla Mpangase South Africa’s automotive industry continues to anchor the country’s manufacturing capacity and offers a “unique competitive advantage” on the African continent, despite facing significant global and domestic headwinds. This was the message from Minister of Trade, Industry and Competition, Parks Tau, addressing delegates at South Africa Auto Week 2025, hosted by naamsa (The Automotive Business Council) in Gqeberha from 1–3 October. Tau said that while the sector has weathered one of its most challenging periods over the past nine months, it remains one of the cornerstones of South Africa’s economy. “In 2024, the industry contributed 5.2% to GDP and accounted for 22.6% of total manufacturing output. It provides nearly 500 000 formal jobs across assembly, components, retail and services, while supporting around one million livelihoods,” he told delegates. New markets and partnerships Tau highlighted fresh opportunities emerging on the continent and beyond. Following recent engagements in Saudi Arabia and Nigeria, he said South African component manufacturers could partner with counterparts in those countries to expand their footprint. “We’re prepared to allow African investors to partner with our local companies and create manufacturing capacity in those markets. It is an opportunity we must take advantage of,” Tau explained. At the same time, global OEMs operating in South Africa have committed to transitioning from semi-knockdown to complete knockdown production, deepening local manufacturing capacity. “Our duty is to work with these companies to ensure they become part of the local production base, taking advantage of South Africa’s skills and positioning the country as a platform for access to African markets,” Tau added. Transition to new energy vehicles The minister stressed that the industry is at a critical “inflection point” as global markets accelerate their shift away from fossil fuel vehicles towards new energy vehicles (NEVs). With major export destinations such as the European Union and the United Kingdom moving to ban new petrol and diesel vehicles from 2035, South Africa must adapt or risk losing market share. Already, the shift is underway: in 2024, South Africa recorded 15 600 new energy vehicle sales, representing 3% of the local market. The sector also attracted R12-billion in new investment for NEV-related manufacturing. Government has introduced measures to support this transition, including a 50% tax deduction for qualified NEV investments, partnerships with universities and research institutions, and strategies to localise production of critical inputs such as battery materials. “This is not just an industrial project,” Tau said. “It is about positioning South Africa at the heart of the global mobility revolution, not as a taker of technology, but as a maker. If we succeed, we will safeguard exports, create jobs, and place Africa at the forefront of clean mobility solutions.” Africa as an engine of growth Africa has emerged as a key market, with the continent becoming South Africa’s second-largest export destination in 2024. Vehicle exports into Africa grew by 12.4% year-on-year to R48.1-billion. The African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) is expected to further unlock opportunities, from reducing logistics costs to enabling vehicle assembly across the continent. Beyond vehicles, Tau noted, it could also drive mineral beneficiation, particularly for critical minerals such as cobalt, graphite, and lithium essential for the NEV transition. “Together, Africa can build a battery industry that reduces dependence on imports and positions the continent as a hub for clean mobility,” he said, adding that South Africa is leading the development of an African automotive hub that could align policies and attract investment. In closing, Tau emphasised that South Africa’s auto sector, with its industrial depth and mineral wealth, is uniquely positioned to lead Africa’s role in the global energy transition. “The automotive sector has been at the heart of our industrial story for more than a century. Today, it stands at a defining moment. “Its transition to new energy vehicles will define our relevance in a low-carbon world, while its integration into Africa’s free trade area positions us as leaders on the continent,” he said. “If we seize this opportunity, we will not only secure South Africa’s competitiveness but also place Africa at the forefront of the global mobility revolution.”

Collaboration is needed to gear up to new auto future

If South Africa is to transform the automotive sector as spelt out in the South African Automotive Master Plan 2035, the industry must take decisive action on a wide range of issues, including decarbonisation, writes TASEZ CEO Dr Bheka Zulu. As the country’s special economic zone (SEZ) focused primarily on the automotive industry, the Tshwane Automotive Special Economic Zone (TASEZ) is ready to play a key role in moving the transformation efforts forward. While South Africa has set itself the task of zero net emissions by 2050, many of the country’s automotive export markets have set stringent targets over the next decade and the original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) are gearing up for the change. No doubt, this will be one of the main talking points at this year’s South African Auto Week, taking place in Cape Town from 15 – 18 October 2024. The theme for this year’s event is Reimagining the Future Together: Celebrating 100-Years of automotive heritage, passion, resilience and ingenuity. Among the topics up for discussion are “Decarbonising the auto sector”, “A path to net zero”, and “SA NEV (new energy vehicle) transition: Policy choices and support instruments”. It is against these current discussions that input from research by Deloitte, Automotive Pathways to Decarbonisation, becomes both prophetic and doable. The report, that “by 2050, automakers are expected to reduce CO₂ emissions by 90%”. It goes on to note that “to reach these aggressive targets, however, the entire value chain will need to be decarbonised”. The Deloitte report states: “Despite ongoing advances in the fuel efficiency of vehicles with internal combustion engines, the automotive sector’s pathway to decarbonisation requires accelerated adoption of electric vehicles (EV). Beyond the regulatory push to reduce tailpipe emissions, this shift is also being driven by consumer demand. In response, automakers around the globe have been ramping up EV production and sales.” However, the sector is faced with the high costs of expanding EVs into the market place, inconsistent regulatory frameworks globally, insufficient access to green inputs such as batteries and steel, a lack of competitive green business models and strong sustainable strategies, the report adds. But all is not lost. “By quickly ramping up EV production, increasing usage of renewable energy, and establishing material circularity, automakers can enhance the industry’s ability to meet the Paris Agreement’s science-based emissions reduction targets.” Deloitte suggests OEMS and component producers adopt circular business models and transition clean energy in both production plants and usage by prioritising sustainability when extracting and processing basic materials, producing vehicles and their parts, and decommissioning vehicles at their end-of-life. “To achieve this target state, the sector will need to eliminate traditional sector boundaries, involve suppliers and customers in the solution, and foster strong cross-sectoral collaboration.” This is where TASEZ is well-equipped to play a significant transformative role as an SEZ. Its strength is in building strong strategic partnerships, supporting current and potential automotive manufacturing tenants in creating green facilities that incorporate the latest technologies, and helping to train a workforce familiar with future trends within the industry. TASEZ’s facilities already embrace green energy solutions, using battery and solar elements. In addition, the SEZ’s close ties with local industry associations, training institutions and industry role players ensure that investors are provided with access to the latest technologies. Because TASEZ is based in the City of Tshwane, it is surrounded by academic, innovative and technological institutions, which are more than capable of supporting tenants in terms of research and development. It is only through partnerships and collaborative action across the entire value chain that a strong decarbonised sector will be built – and there is not too much time left to do so.

The TASEZ breakaway discussion team at the Tshwane Energy Summit 2024: the CEO of the AIDC Andile Africa, TASEZ's CEO Dr Bheka Zulu, the NAAMSA's chief policy officer Tshetle Litheko, and the co-founder of the Mobility Centre for Africa Vincent Radebe

TASEZ hosts vital and vibrant discussion on new energy vehicles

New energy vehicles loom large in the discussions on the evolving automotive manufacturing landscape – but the time for the internal combustion engine is not yet over. Two experts from the industry discussed the important topics of whether the legacy original equipment manufacturers are being left behind by disruptive innovators like Tesla and BYD, and the new energy vehicle landscape in a South African context during a breakaway session at this year’s Tshwane Energy Summit on Thursday, 20 June 2024, held in Menlyn Maine, Pretoria. The breakaway session was hosted by the Tshwane Automotive Special Economic Zone, Africa’s first automotive city and an important player in the country’s automotive manufacturing sector. Introducing the session, TASEZ CEO Dr Bheka Zulu provided the insight into the new energy vehicle (NEV) landscape globally and locally. “We all know that the NEV space has been growing. In the last year, if you compare figures from the first quarter of last year, it grew by 8.7% – units that have grown from 1 665 to 2 220. And in the second quarter, that number grew to 3 042. These are the some of the figures that show the demand and the need for the sector to grow.” He noted a number of important milestones in the drive towards cleaner energy: the publication in 2023 of a White Paper on NEVs aimed at unlocking the potential of South Africa’s NEV market; the fact that 2024 marks a centenary of manufacturing in South Africa – and Ford is celebrating its 100 years in South Africa. Opportunities available in NEV space The NEV space is one that can open opportunities in unexpected ways, Dr Zulu noted, such as the “last mile” programmes that have rolled out across South Africa delivering goods to the consumers’ doors via scooters or motorbikes. This is particularly important in growing the township economy. Although a critical element, NEVs are not confined to passenger vehicles but will also impact public transport and freight and logistics, Dr Zulu said. South Africa exports the majority of its vehicles, so it needs to comply with the clean energy regulations set by it external markets. For example, Europe has set stringent regulations that have to be met by the automotive manufacturers: it will require 55% lower carbon-dioxide emissions from 2030, with a target of zero from 2035. Mobility Centre for Africa co-founder Victor Radebe delivered a thought-provoking talk asking are the legacy OEMs sleeping at the wheel in the face of disruptive innovation by front-runners such as Tesla and BYD. Using the work of academic and business consultant Clayton Christensen, Radebe dived into the concepts surrounding “disruptive innovation” noting that “it’s like a tidal wave that strips over established industries creating new markets, whilst leaving old ones in its wake.” Disruptive innovation starts humbly, often ignored or dismissed by established companies. But then it marches on, transforming the landscape and toppling giants, Radebe said. “Christensen’s The Innovators Dilemma explains why many established firms, despite their resources and expertise, find themselves in this predicament hesitating at the edge of innovation,” Radebe said, adding: “This is where legacy OEMs find themselves.” Rise of the NEVs The automotive manufacturing industry is currently experiencing a seismic shift driven by the electrifying rise of NEVs. “Legacy OEMs are finding themselves in the slow lane compared to speed stars like to Tesla and BYD.” This technological race is not just about who gets to the finish line first, but who can navigate the twists and turns of innovation without losing control, Radebe noted. One of the innovations of NEVs is that the manufacturers build most of their parts, whereas the biggest OEMs rely on a supply chain of multiple suppliers from across the globe. Radebe looked at the potential drivers for change: Another important element is that of the minerals required to make the batteries required by the NEVs. “If you look at the upstream supply chain, China controls the extraction of the of the raw materials. They control the processing of the raw materials.” The beneficiation of minerals is a hot topic in South Africa that will have to form part of a more in-depth negotiation. “The future outlook of the automotive industry will be shaped by those who dare to navigate the choppy waters of innovation in geopolitical, geopolitical uncertainties,” Radebe said. “Legacy OEMs need to embrace a bold strategy to protect their turf, whilst diving headfirst into the new technology and business models, partnerships, heavy investments in innovation, and a willingness to disrupt their own operations.” NAAMSA’s chief policy officer, Tshetle Litheko, brought the topic closer to home, discussing the NEV landscape and outlook in South Africa. NAAMSA represents the South Africa automotive manufacturing industry and the seven original OEMS in the country. NEVs, the next natural step Litheko noted that because of environmental pressures, the innovation and migrating towards NEVs is unavoidable – “it’s the next natural step”. South Africa currently produces 0.5% of the global production of cars. Through its South African Automotive Master Plan, it aims to produce 1% of the world’s cars by 2035. However, Litheko noted, the export markets that South Africa has are now looking to cleaner energy vehicles such as hybrids and EVs. So, the current production of vehicles with internal combustion engines will not be fit for purpose and South Africa will need to adjust its products accordingly. “That said, one of the biggest markets that we need to factor in is the 1.4 billion market in Africa – and that market is not about to migrate or evolve into these NEVs.” In the African market the production of cars is around two million, with South Africa producing a third of that. He then referenced India, with a similar population density to that of Africa, and pointed out that India currently produces almost eight million vehicles annually. “India is the biggest and fastest growing exporter of cars into South Africa (and by extension into Africa).” Taking a leaf out of India’s book, South Africa